152 WTNT80 EGRR 040405 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 04.09.2018 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 92L ANALYSED POSITION : 12.4N 22.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL922018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 04.09.2018 12.4N 22.2W WEAK 12UTC 04.09.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE ANALYSED POSITION : 18.8N 40.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 04.09.2018 18.8N 40.1W MODERATE 12UTC 04.09.2018 19.5N 42.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2018 20.5N 44.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2018 21.4N 46.7W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 06.09.2018 22.4N 48.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2018 23.6N 50.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2018 24.5N 52.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2018 25.0N 53.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.09.2018 25.3N 54.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.09.2018 25.6N 55.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.09.2018 26.1N 56.8W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 09.09.2018 26.3N 58.1W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.09.2018 26.7N 59.7W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL STORM GORDON ANALYSED POSITION : 26.7N 83.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL072018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 04.09.2018 26.7N 83.4W WEAK 12UTC 04.09.2018 27.9N 86.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2018 29.4N 88.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2018 31.3N 89.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2018 32.4N 91.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2018 32.8N 92.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2018 33.1N 94.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2018 33.8N 95.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.09.2018 35.0N 95.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2018 36.9N 94.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2018 38.7N 92.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2018 40.7N 89.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2018 43.4N 83.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE HURRICANE NORMAN ANALYSED POSITION : 19.5N 139.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP162018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 04.09.2018 19.5N 139.3W MODERATE 12UTC 04.09.2018 19.7N 142.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2018 19.4N 144.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2018 19.4N 146.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2018 19.5N 148.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2018 19.9N 149.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2018 20.5N 151.1W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.09.2018 21.1N 152.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.09.2018 21.9N 154.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2018 23.1N 156.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2018 23.9N 157.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2018 24.2N 158.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2018 25.0N 159.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE HURRICANE OLIVIA ANALYSED POSITION : 16.7N 115.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP172018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 04.09.2018 16.7N 115.3W MODERATE 12UTC 04.09.2018 16.9N 117.4W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 05.09.2018 17.0N 119.5W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 05.09.2018 17.3N 121.9W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2018 17.9N 124.4W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 06.09.2018 18.6N 127.2W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2018 19.3N 130.1W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.09.2018 20.1N 132.9W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.09.2018 21.1N 135.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2018 21.9N 138.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2018 22.6N 140.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2018 23.1N 143.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2018 23.6N 144.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 13.8N 33.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 07.09.2018 13.8N 33.7W WEAK 12UTC 07.09.2018 14.1N 35.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.09.2018 14.7N 35.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2018 15.6N 35.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2018 16.4N 37.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2018 17.2N 38.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2018 17.8N 39.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 040405