633 
WTNT80 EGRR 161605

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 16.08.2018

        TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO    ANALYSED POSITION : 41.4N  43.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL052018

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 16.08.2018  41.4N  43.6W     WEAK
 00UTC 17.08.2018  43.6N  40.3W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.08.2018  46.3N  35.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 18.08.2018  49.2N  27.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.08.2018  51.7N  18.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 19.08.2018  53.6N   9.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 19.08.2018        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM LANE       ANALYSED POSITION : 10.0N 127.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP142018

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 16.08.2018  10.0N 127.4W   MODERATE
 00UTC 17.08.2018  10.5N 130.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.08.2018  10.6N 133.1W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 18.08.2018  10.9N 136.4W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.08.2018  11.1N 139.7W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.08.2018  11.4N 142.8W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.08.2018  11.7N 145.6W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.08.2018  12.1N 148.1W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.08.2018  12.5N 150.3W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.08.2018  12.9N 152.2W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.08.2018  13.5N 154.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.08.2018  14.2N 155.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.08.2018  15.0N 157.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 14.6N 133.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 22.08.2018  15.0N 134.6W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 22.08.2018  15.6N 136.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 161605