470 
WTNT80 EGRR 101606

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 10.08.2018

             HURRICANE HECTOR     ANALYSED POSITION : 17.4N 165.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP102018

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 10.08.2018  17.4N 165.0W   MODERATE
 00UTC 11.08.2018  18.1N 167.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.08.2018  19.0N 169.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.08.2018  20.6N 171.3W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.08.2018  22.8N 173.6W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.08.2018  24.4N 176.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.08.2018  25.6N 179.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.08.2018  27.0N 177.6E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.08.2018  28.1N 174.1E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.08.2018  29.3N 171.0E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.08.2018  30.5N 168.0E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.08.2018  31.6N 165.6E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.08.2018  32.5N 164.2E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

        TROPICAL STORM JOHN       ANALYSED POSITION : 26.4N 120.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP122018

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 10.08.2018  26.4N 120.3W     WEAK
 00UTC 11.08.2018  27.6N 122.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.08.2018  27.8N 123.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.08.2018  28.0N 124.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.08.2018  28.1N 124.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.08.2018  28.1N 124.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.08.2018  28.3N 123.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.08.2018        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM KRISTY     ANALYSED POSITION : 18.6N 129.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP132018

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 10.08.2018  18.6N 129.8W   MODERATE
 00UTC 11.08.2018  20.2N 129.9W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.08.2018  20.9N 130.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.08.2018  21.1N 131.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.08.2018  21.2N 132.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.08.2018  21.0N 133.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.08.2018  21.0N 135.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.08.2018  21.2N 136.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.08.2018  21.6N 139.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.08.2018  22.2N 141.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.08.2018        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  78 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 38.0N  48.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 14.08.2018  37.5N  47.5W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 14.08.2018  37.5N  48.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.08.2018  38.4N  49.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.08.2018  38.7N  50.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.08.2018  40.3N  49.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.08.2018        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 101606