166 
WTNT80 EGRR 051604

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 05.08.2018

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11E        ANALYSED POSITION : 12.8N  97.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP112018

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 05.08.2018  12.8N  97.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 06.08.2018  13.6N  99.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.08.2018  14.6N 101.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 07.08.2018  15.7N 103.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.08.2018  17.2N 105.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.08.2018  19.6N 108.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.08.2018  22.4N 111.5W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.08.2018  25.0N 115.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.08.2018  27.8N 118.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.08.2018        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE HECTOR     ANALYSED POSITION : 14.2N 136.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP102018

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 05.08.2018  14.2N 136.3W   INTENSE
 00UTC 06.08.2018  14.7N 138.5W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.08.2018  15.4N 141.1W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.08.2018  16.2N 144.3W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.08.2018  16.9N 147.6W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 08.08.2018  17.3N 151.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 08.08.2018  17.1N 154.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.08.2018  17.0N 158.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.08.2018  17.1N 161.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.08.2018  16.9N 164.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.08.2018  16.8N 167.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.08.2018  17.2N 169.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.08.2018  17.8N 171.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER   6 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+  6 : 14.4N 106.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 06.08.2018  15.0N 106.6W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 06.08.2018  15.9N 108.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.08.2018  16.6N 110.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.08.2018  16.7N 112.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.08.2018  16.9N 113.2W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 08.08.2018  17.3N 113.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.08.2018  18.6N 114.2W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.08.2018  20.5N 115.3W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.08.2018  22.8N 117.1W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.08.2018  24.8N 119.3W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 11.08.2018  26.7N 121.7W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 11.08.2018  27.5N 124.5W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 051604