309 WTNT80 EGRR 050405 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 05.08.2018 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11E ANALYSED POSITION : 12.5N 95.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP112018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 05.08.2018 12.5N 95.1W WEAK 12UTC 05.08.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE HECTOR ANALYSED POSITION : 14.3N 134.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP102018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 05.08.2018 14.3N 134.1W INTENSE 12UTC 05.08.2018 14.5N 136.2W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 06.08.2018 15.0N 138.5W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 06.08.2018 15.7N 141.4W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.08.2018 16.4N 144.6W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.08.2018 17.0N 147.9W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.08.2018 17.3N 151.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.08.2018 17.2N 154.9W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.08.2018 17.3N 158.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.08.2018 17.3N 161.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.08.2018 17.3N 165.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.08.2018 17.3N 167.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.08.2018 17.8N 169.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 34.8N 47.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 05.08.2018 34.8N 47.5W WEAK 12UTC 05.08.2018 33.3N 48.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.08.2018 32.0N 49.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.08.2018 32.8N 49.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.08.2018 34.5N 48.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.08.2018 36.9N 48.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.08.2018 39.8N 47.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.08.2018 42.4N 48.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.08.2018 43.9N 46.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.08.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 12.9N 97.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.08.2018 12.9N 97.2W WEAK 00UTC 06.08.2018 13.3N 99.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.08.2018 14.0N 101.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.08.2018 15.0N 103.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 07.08.2018 16.1N 105.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.08.2018 18.4N 107.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.08.2018 21.5N 110.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.08.2018 24.1N 115.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 09.08.2018 26.4N 118.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.08.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 13.9N 106.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.08.2018 13.9N 106.2W WEAK 00UTC 06.08.2018 15.1N 108.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 06.08.2018 15.8N 109.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.08.2018 16.4N 111.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.08.2018 16.6N 112.2W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.08.2018 16.9N 113.0W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.08.2018 17.2N 113.7W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.08.2018 18.4N 114.3W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.08.2018 19.9N 115.6W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.08.2018 21.7N 117.7W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.08.2018 23.3N 119.8W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.08.2018 24.6N 122.4W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 050405