969 WTNT80 EGRR 040418 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 04.08.2018 HURRICANE HECTOR ANALYSED POSITION : 14.2N 130.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP102018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 04.08.2018 14.2N 130.3W STRONG 12UTC 04.08.2018 14.5N 132.2W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.08.2018 14.7N 134.7W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.08.2018 14.7N 137.1W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 06.08.2018 14.8N 140.0W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 06.08.2018 15.0N 143.2W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.08.2018 15.3N 146.6W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.08.2018 15.6N 150.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.08.2018 15.6N 153.5W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.08.2018 15.6N 156.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.08.2018 15.8N 160.2W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.08.2018 16.2N 162.7W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.08.2018 17.1N 165.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 37.0N 44.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 04.08.2018 37.0N 44.6W WEAK 00UTC 05.08.2018 35.6N 47.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.08.2018 33.9N 49.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.08.2018 31.9N 50.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.08.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 30 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 13.0N 97.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.08.2018 13.3N 98.2W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 06.08.2018 13.9N 99.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 06.08.2018 14.2N 101.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.08.2018 14.9N 103.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.08.2018 15.4N 105.2W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.08.2018 16.3N 106.7W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.08.2018 17.8N 108.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.08.2018 19.4N 110.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.08.2018 21.4N 112.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.08.2018 23.0N 115.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 42 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 15.5N 108.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 06.08.2018 15.8N 109.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.08.2018 16.6N 111.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.08.2018 17.3N 112.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.08.2018 17.8N 113.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.08.2018 18.4N 114.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.08.2018 18.9N 115.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.08.2018 19.6N 117.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.08.2018 20.1N 119.3W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.08.2018 19.9N 120.5W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 14.5N 135.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 09.08.2018 14.5N 135.2W WEAK 00UTC 10.08.2018 14.9N 136.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 040418