395 
WTNT80 EGRR 020407

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 02.08.2018

        TROPICAL STORM HECTOR     ANALYSED POSITION : 13.9N 121.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP102018

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 02.08.2018  13.9N 121.6W   MODERATE
 12UTC 02.08.2018  15.0N 124.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.08.2018  15.3N 126.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.08.2018  15.6N 128.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.08.2018  15.3N 131.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.08.2018  14.7N 134.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.08.2018  13.8N 136.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.08.2018  12.9N 138.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.08.2018  12.5N 140.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.08.2018  12.1N 143.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.08.2018  12.5N 145.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.08.2018  12.5N 146.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.08.2018  12.8N 148.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 39.5N  36.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 03.08.2018  39.5N  36.0W     WEAK
 12UTC 03.08.2018  39.7N  38.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.08.2018  39.3N  41.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.08.2018  38.1N  43.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.08.2018  38.7N  45.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.08.2018  38.3N  48.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.08.2018        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  84 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 12.8N  97.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 05.08.2018  12.8N  97.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 06.08.2018  13.5N 100.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.08.2018  13.9N 102.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.08.2018  14.6N 104.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.08.2018  15.5N 106.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.08.2018  16.9N 107.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 16.4N 110.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 06.08.2018  16.3N 110.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.08.2018  16.7N 112.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.08.2018  17.1N 114.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.08.2018  17.8N 115.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 020407