019 WTNT80 EGRR 101606 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 10.07.2018 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERYL ANALYSED POSITION : 18.9N 73.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL022018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 10.07.2018 18.9N 73.6W WEAK 00UTC 11.07.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM CHRIS ANALYSED POSITION : 32.7N 73.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL032018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 10.07.2018 32.7N 73.4W MODERATE 00UTC 11.07.2018 33.8N 72.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.07.2018 35.5N 70.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.07.2018 38.1N 65.7W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.07.2018 42.7N 61.0W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 13.07.2018 46.9N 56.0W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 13.07.2018 49.2N 49.5W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 14.07.2018 51.7N 39.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.07.2018 52.9N 28.7W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.07.2018 POST-TROPICAL NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 33.0N 67.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 14.07.2018 34.7N 66.5W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 15.07.2018 38.1N 66.1W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 15.07.2018 39.4N 66.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.07.2018 39.7N 65.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.07.2018 40.5N 63.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 101606