000
WTNT80 EGRR 091604

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 09.07.2018

        TROPICAL STORM BERYL      ANALYSED POSITION : 16.9N  65.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL022018

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 09.07.2018  16.9N  65.2W     WEAK
 00UTC 10.07.2018        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM CHRIS      ANALYSED POSITION : 32.3N  74.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL032018

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 09.07.2018  32.3N  74.6W   MODERATE
 00UTC 10.07.2018  32.3N  74.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.07.2018  32.2N  74.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.07.2018  32.7N  74.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.07.2018  34.1N  72.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.07.2018  35.7N  69.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.07.2018  38.8N  66.5W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 13.07.2018  42.6N  63.7W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.07.2018  45.8N  60.4W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 14.07.2018  48.2N  55.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 14.07.2018  49.8N  45.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.07.2018        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  84 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 12.6N 132.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 13.07.2018  12.6N 132.0W     WEAK
 12UTC 13.07.2018  12.8N 133.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.07.2018  13.6N 135.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.07.2018  13.6N 137.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.07.2018  14.0N 139.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.07.2018        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  90 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 31.1N  72.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 13.07.2018  31.9N  72.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.07.2018  33.9N  70.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.07.2018  37.0N  69.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.07.2018  39.4N  68.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.07.2018  41.9N  64.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 :  9.2N 105.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 15.07.2018   9.2N 105.5W     WEAK


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 091604