000
WTNT80 EGRR 050407

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 05.07.2018

             HURRICANE FABIO      ANALYSED POSITION : 18.1N 122.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072018

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 05.07.2018  18.1N 122.3W    STRONG
 12UTC 05.07.2018  19.8N 124.6W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 06.07.2018  21.4N 127.5W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.07.2018  22.7N 129.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.07.2018  23.5N 131.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.07.2018  24.2N 134.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.07.2018  24.8N 136.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.07.2018  25.2N 138.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.07.2018        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 10.4N  40.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 05.07.2018  10.4N  40.3W     WEAK
 00UTC 06.07.2018  11.0N  42.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.07.2018  11.6N  44.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.07.2018  12.5N  46.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.07.2018  13.3N  49.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.07.2018  14.2N  52.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.07.2018        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  66 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 33.1N  75.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 08.07.2018  33.3N  75.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.07.2018  33.6N  74.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.07.2018  33.5N  72.9W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.07.2018  34.4N  71.5W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.07.2018  36.0N  70.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.07.2018  37.3N  67.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.07.2018  38.6N  62.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 050407