000
WTNT80 EGRR 040406

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 04.07.2018

             HURRICANE FABIO      ANALYSED POSITION : 16.2N 117.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072018

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 04.07.2018  16.2N 117.6W   INTENSE
 12UTC 04.07.2018  17.2N 120.2W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.07.2018  18.6N 122.8W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 05.07.2018  19.9N 125.2W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 06.07.2018  21.0N 127.6W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 06.07.2018  22.0N 129.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.07.2018  23.1N 132.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.07.2018  24.1N 135.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.07.2018  24.8N 137.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.07.2018  25.0N 139.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.07.2018  25.7N 141.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.07.2018        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  54 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 30.0N  71.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 06.07.2018  30.4N  72.7W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 07.07.2018  31.1N  74.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.07.2018  31.8N  74.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.07.2018  32.5N  74.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.07.2018  33.3N  74.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.07.2018  33.6N  71.7W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.07.2018  34.2N  69.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.07.2018  35.3N  69.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 040406