000 WTNT80 EGRR 030405 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 03.07.2018 HURRICANE FABIO ANALYSED POSITION : 14.1N 112.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 03.07.2018 14.1N 112.3W STRONG 12UTC 03.07.2018 15.0N 115.3W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 04.07.2018 15.9N 118.1W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.07.2018 16.7N 120.6W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.07.2018 18.0N 123.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.07.2018 19.4N 125.2W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 06.07.2018 21.1N 127.6W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 06.07.2018 22.8N 129.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.07.2018 24.1N 132.2W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.07.2018 24.8N 134.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.07.2018 25.6N 135.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.07.2018 26.4N 137.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.07.2018 26.9N 139.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 28.8N 70.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 06.07.2018 29.0N 70.8W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 07.07.2018 30.2N 72.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.07.2018 31.4N 71.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.07.2018 33.3N 70.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.07.2018 36.4N 67.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.07.2018 38.9N 61.7W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 030405