000 WTNT80 EGRR 300402 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 30.06.2018 TROPICAL STORM EMILIA ANALYSED POSITION : 16.6N 118.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 30.06.2018 16.6N 118.1W MODERATE 12UTC 30.06.2018 16.7N 119.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.07.2018 17.4N 121.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.07.2018 17.9N 123.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.07.2018 18.9N 125.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 02.07.2018 19.9N 127.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.07.2018 20.5N 129.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.07.2018 20.9N 131.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.07.2018 20.7N 133.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.07.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 10.5N 104.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 01.07.2018 10.5N 104.3W WEAK 12UTC 01.07.2018 11.8N 106.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.07.2018 12.3N 109.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 02.07.2018 12.5N 111.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.07.2018 13.2N 113.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 03.07.2018 13.4N 116.5W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 04.07.2018 13.9N 118.8W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 04.07.2018 14.4N 121.6W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 05.07.2018 15.2N 124.5W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 05.07.2018 16.3N 127.1W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.07.2018 17.7N 129.8W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 300402