000
WTNT80 EGRR 291602

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 29.06.2018

        TROPICAL STORM EMILIA     ANALYSED POSITION : 15.8N 116.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062018

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 29.06.2018  15.8N 116.3W   MODERATE
 00UTC 30.06.2018  16.3N 117.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.06.2018  16.9N 119.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.07.2018  17.5N 121.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.07.2018  18.0N 123.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.07.2018  19.2N 124.7W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 02.07.2018  20.3N 126.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.07.2018  21.0N 128.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.07.2018  21.6N 130.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.07.2018  21.9N 132.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.07.2018  21.7N 135.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.07.2018        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  42 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 10.6N 105.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 01.07.2018  11.0N 106.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 02.07.2018  11.4N 109.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 02.07.2018  11.7N 111.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.07.2018  12.5N 113.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.07.2018  13.0N 116.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 04.07.2018  13.3N 118.6W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.07.2018  13.9N 121.2W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.07.2018  14.8N 124.0W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 05.07.2018  15.8N 126.8W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  96 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 :  8.7N  97.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 03.07.2018   8.7N  97.4W     WEAK
 00UTC 04.07.2018   9.2N  99.6W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.07.2018  10.1N 102.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.07.2018  10.9N 105.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.07.2018  11.1N 108.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 291602