000
WTNT80 EGRR 281605

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 28.06.2018

        TROPICAL STORM EMILIA     ANALYSED POSITION : 14.6N 111.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062018

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 28.06.2018  14.6N 111.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 29.06.2018  15.2N 114.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.06.2018  15.8N 115.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.06.2018  16.7N 117.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.06.2018  17.4N 119.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.07.2018  18.3N 121.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.07.2018  19.0N 123.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.07.2018  20.0N 124.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.07.2018  20.8N 126.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.07.2018  21.4N 127.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.07.2018        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  72 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 11.0N 106.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 01.07.2018  11.0N 106.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 02.07.2018  11.1N 109.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 02.07.2018  11.7N 110.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.07.2018  12.9N 112.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.07.2018  13.4N 115.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.07.2018  14.2N 117.2W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.07.2018  14.9N 119.5W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 :  8.7N  92.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 03.07.2018   8.8N  93.3W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.07.2018   9.2N  95.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 04.07.2018   9.8N  98.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.07.2018  10.6N 101.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 281605