000 WTNT80 EGRR 160403 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 16.11.2017 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 6 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 6 : 31.6N 55.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 16.11.2017 32.6N 52.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.11.2017 36.6N 46.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.11.2017 39.7N 40.2W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 18.11.2017 44.4N 34.7W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.11.2017 49.2N 35.4W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 19.11.2017 51.3N 31.6W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 19.11.2017 54.5N 26.7W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 20.11.2017 POST-TROPICAL NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 13.6N 74.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 19.11.2017 13.6N 74.8W WEAK 12UTC 19.11.2017 14.2N 75.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.11.2017 14.5N 75.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.11.2017 15.0N 74.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.11.2017 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 27.6N 29.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 21.11.2017 26.5N 29.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 22.11.2017 25.1N 28.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 160403