000
WTNT80 EGRR 141606

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 14.11.2017

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  42 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 31.1N  57.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 16.11.2017  32.3N  54.6W   MODERATE
 00UTC 17.11.2017  35.4N  48.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.11.2017  36.4N  43.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.11.2017  38.2N  38.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.11.2017  39.4N  35.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.11.2017  40.8N  33.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 19.11.2017  43.9N  31.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.11.2017  48.6N  32.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 20.11.2017  51.4N  38.6W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  90 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 15.3N  71.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 18.11.2017  16.3N  70.8W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 19.11.2017  18.0N  68.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.11.2017  19.4N  67.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.11.2017  21.5N  67.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.11.2017  23.8N  66.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 141606