000 WTNT80 EGRR 250406 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 25.10.2017 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 11.0N 87.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 27.10.2017 11.0N 87.7W WEAK 12UTC 27.10.2017 11.7N 88.4W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 28.10.2017 13.6N 88.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.10.2017 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 11.6N 93.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 29.10.2017 11.9N 92.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.10.2017 12.5N 91.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.10.2017 12.3N 90.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.10.2017 11.9N 90.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 31.10.2017 11.6N 89.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 96 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 24.2N 82.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 29.10.2017 24.2N 82.3W WEAK 12UTC 29.10.2017 27.0N 79.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.10.2017 36.1N 74.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 30.10.2017 44.2N 73.0W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 31.10.2017 49.8N 73.2W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 250406