000
WTNT80 EGRR 221605

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 22.10.2017

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  78 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 22.4N 153.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 26.10.2017  24.6N 152.3W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 26.10.2017  30.8N 152.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 27.10.2017  31.9N 154.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 27.10.2017  30.3N 157.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 28.10.2017        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  96 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 15.7N  83.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 26.10.2017  15.7N  83.3W     WEAK
 00UTC 27.10.2017  16.5N  82.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.10.2017  18.3N  80.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 28.10.2017  20.9N  80.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 28.10.2017  23.7N  78.2W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 12.3N  89.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 28.10.2017  12.5N  88.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 221605