000
WTNT80 EGRR 161605

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 16.10.2017

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  30 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 31.7N  67.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 18.10.2017  33.0N  65.1W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 18.10.2017  34.8N  62.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.10.2017  35.9N  57.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.10.2017  35.4N  54.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.10.2017  35.0N  53.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.10.2017  36.1N  53.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.10.2017  40.3N  48.9W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 21.10.2017  45.2N  42.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 22.10.2017  51.3N  37.5W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 22.10.2017  53.9N  37.3W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 36.4N  42.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 22.10.2017  37.3N  39.9W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 161605