000
WTNT80 EGRR 150404

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 15.10.2017

             HURRICANE OPHELIA    ANALYSED POSITION : 36.7N  22.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172017

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 15.10.2017  36.7N  22.7W    STRONG
 12UTC 15.10.2017  40.9N  16.9W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.10.2017  48.3N  14.3W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 16.10.2017  53.0N  10.0W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.10.2017  POST-TROPICAL

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  54 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 29.7N  69.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 17.10.2017  30.9N  68.0W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 18.10.2017  32.8N  65.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.10.2017  34.8N  62.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.10.2017  35.6N  58.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.10.2017  35.3N  55.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.10.2017  35.3N  54.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.10.2017  36.7N  52.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.10.2017        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 150404