000
WTNT80 EGRR 141604

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 14.10.2017

             HURRICANE OPHELIA    ANALYSED POSITION : 34.3N  27.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172017

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 14.10.2017  34.3N  27.6W    STRONG
 00UTC 15.10.2017  36.9N  22.6W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 15.10.2017  41.4N  16.9W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.10.2017  48.3N  13.8W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 16.10.2017  53.1N   9.6W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.10.2017  POST-TROPICAL

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  66 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 30.0N  69.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 17.10.2017  31.4N  68.0W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 18.10.2017  33.4N  64.5W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.10.2017  35.4N  60.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.10.2017  36.4N  54.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.10.2017  35.9N  50.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.10.2017  35.2N  49.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.10.2017  36.1N  48.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 141604