000
WTNT80 EGRR 080406

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 08.10.2017

             HURRICANE NATE       ANALYSED POSITION : 29.1N  89.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL162017

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 08.10.2017  29.1N  89.2W   MODERATE
 12UTC 08.10.2017  32.1N  87.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.10.2017  36.2N  85.5W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.10.2017  41.4N  79.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.10.2017  44.3N  70.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.10.2017  46.7N  60.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.10.2017  47.3N  53.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.10.2017        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 31.5N  39.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 08.10.2017  31.5N  39.4W     WEAK
 12UTC 08.10.2017  30.8N  39.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.10.2017  31.0N  40.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.10.2017  31.4N  41.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.10.2017  31.6N  42.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.10.2017  31.1N  42.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.10.2017  30.0N  41.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.10.2017  28.8N  41.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.10.2017        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 080406