000
WTNT80 EGRR 060406

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 06.10.2017

        TROPICAL STORM NATE       ANALYSED POSITION : 15.3N  83.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL162017

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 06.10.2017  15.3N  83.5W   MODERATE
 12UTC 06.10.2017  18.5N  84.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.10.2017  21.9N  86.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.10.2017  25.6N  89.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.10.2017  28.2N  90.0W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 08.10.2017  30.8N  88.3W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.10.2017  34.3N  85.0W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 09.10.2017  37.7N  79.9W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.10.2017  40.5N  73.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 10.10.2017  42.0N  69.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.10.2017        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  18 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 32.4N  38.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 07.10.2017  32.2N  38.5W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 07.10.2017  33.0N  38.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.10.2017  32.3N  41.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.10.2017  30.2N  42.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.10.2017        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  36 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 31.1N 150.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 07.10.2017  31.1N 150.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 08.10.2017  30.3N 153.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.10.2017  29.5N 154.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.10.2017  30.3N 154.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.10.2017        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 060406