000
WTNT80 EGRR 050407

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 05.10.2017

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION RAMON      ANALYSED POSITION : 15.0N 101.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP192017

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 05.10.2017  15.0N 101.6W     WEAK
 12UTC 05.10.2017        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16L        ANALYSED POSITION : 12.3N  82.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL162017

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 05.10.2017  12.3N  82.9W     WEAK
 12UTC 05.10.2017  13.3N  82.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.10.2017  16.3N  83.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.10.2017  19.5N  84.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.10.2017  22.8N  87.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.10.2017  26.3N  89.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.10.2017  29.5N  89.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.10.2017  31.9N  88.3W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.10.2017  34.2N  85.1W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.10.2017  36.1N  81.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.10.2017  37.5N  78.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 10.10.2017  38.8N  75.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.10.2017        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  66 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 32.7N  40.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 08.10.2017  32.7N  40.8W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 08.10.2017  32.4N  42.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.10.2017  31.3N  45.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.10.2017  30.8N  48.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.10.2017        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 29.2N  56.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 11.10.2017  29.2N  56.6W     WEAK


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 050407