000
WTNT80 EGRR 041607

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 04.10.2017

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16L        ANALYSED POSITION : 12.0N  82.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL162017

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 04.10.2017  12.0N  82.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 05.10.2017  12.8N  82.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.10.2017  13.9N  83.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.10.2017  15.6N  84.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.10.2017  18.1N  86.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.10.2017  20.8N  87.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.10.2017  23.7N  88.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.10.2017  27.1N  88.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.10.2017  30.5N  87.3W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.10.2017  33.3N  84.4W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.10.2017  35.7N  81.6W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.10.2017  39.2N  78.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 10.10.2017        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM RAMON      ANALYSED POSITION : 14.1N  96.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP192017

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 04.10.2017  14.1N  96.1W     WEAK
 00UTC 05.10.2017  14.7N  97.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.10.2017        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  78 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 30.0N  69.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 08.10.2017  28.9N  69.7W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 08.10.2017  28.0N  69.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.10.2017  27.2N  71.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.10.2017  24.9N  73.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.10.2017  23.0N  73.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.10.2017  22.7N  75.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  78 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 30.8N  43.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 08.10.2017  30.4N  45.0W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 08.10.2017  29.4N  46.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.10.2017  28.6N  48.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.10.2017  28.6N  49.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.10.2017        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 041607