000 WTNT80 EGRR 021610 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 02.10.2017 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 18 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 12.3N 138.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 03.10.2017 12.7N 138.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.10.2017 13.1N 138.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.10.2017 12.7N 138.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.10.2017 12.0N 138.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.10.2017 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 13.5N 126.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 03.10.2017 13.5N 126.5W WEAK 00UTC 04.10.2017 13.3N 124.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.10.2017 13.0N 122.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.10.2017 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 30 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 12.7N 146.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 04.10.2017 12.8N 147.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.10.2017 12.7N 148.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.10.2017 12.3N 150.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.10.2017 11.7N 152.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.10.2017 11.0N 156.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.10.2017 10.3N 159.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.10.2017 10.3N 162.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2017 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 14.4N 93.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 06.10.2017 13.3N 92.4W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.10.2017 13.8N 91.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2017 14.2N 92.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.10.2017 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 31.2N 41.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 07.10.2017 31.1N 41.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.10.2017 31.6N 42.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2017 32.3N 43.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 29.6N 68.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 08.10.2017 29.3N 68.6W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.10.2017 28.0N 69.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 021610