000 WTNT80 EGRR 160406 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 16.09.2017 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15E ANALYSED POSITION : 16.0N 125.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152017 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 16.09.2017 16.0N 125.6W WEAK 12UTC 16.09.2017 15.7N 126.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.09.2017 15.3N 126.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2017 15.5N 126.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2017 16.3N 126.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2017 17.3N 126.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 19.09.2017 18.1N 126.0W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 19.09.2017 18.4N 126.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 20.09.2017 18.1N 126.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.09.2017 17.8N 127.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.09.2017 17.4N 129.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.09.2017 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14L ANALYSED POSITION : 12.4N 30.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142017 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 16.09.2017 12.4N 30.1W WEAK 12UTC 16.09.2017 12.5N 32.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.09.2017 13.0N 33.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2017 12.8N 34.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2017 13.3N 35.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2017 14.2N 36.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2017 15.4N 38.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.09.2017 16.7N 39.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.09.2017 18.3N 40.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.09.2017 19.5N 41.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.09.2017 20.3N 42.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.09.2017 21.8N 43.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 22.09.2017 23.8N 44.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE HURRICANE JOSE ANALYSED POSITION : 27.2N 70.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122017 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 16.09.2017 27.2N 70.7W STRONG 12UTC 16.09.2017 28.1N 72.2W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 17.09.2017 28.9N 72.4W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.09.2017 30.0N 72.0W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 18.09.2017 31.6N 71.3W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 18.09.2017 33.4N 71.3W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2017 35.0N 71.5W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 19.09.2017 36.9N 71.5W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.09.2017 38.9N 71.7W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 20.09.2017 41.0N 70.6W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 21.09.2017 42.2N 69.1W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 21.09.2017 41.9N 67.7W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 22.09.2017 41.2N 67.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY TROPICAL STORM NORMA ANALYSED POSITION : 18.8N 110.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP172017 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 16.09.2017 18.8N 110.6W MODERATE 12UTC 16.09.2017 18.8N 110.5W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 17.09.2017 19.7N 110.6W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2017 20.5N 111.1W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2017 21.6N 111.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2017 22.3N 112.7W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 19.09.2017 23.0N 113.4W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 19.09.2017 23.3N 114.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 20.09.2017 23.4N 114.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.09.2017 23.8N 114.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.09.2017 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 12.2N 49.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 16.09.2017 12.2N 49.5W WEAK 00UTC 17.09.2017 13.0N 52.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2017 13.3N 55.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2017 13.9N 56.3W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 18.09.2017 14.2N 57.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2017 14.8N 58.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 19.09.2017 15.6N 59.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 20.09.2017 16.5N 61.4W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 20.09.2017 17.2N 62.9W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.09.2017 17.7N 64.4W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 21.09.2017 18.0N 65.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 22.09.2017 19.0N 66.8W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 30 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 11.5N 139.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 17.09.2017 11.6N 139.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2017 11.9N 139.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2017 12.5N 140.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2017 13.3N 140.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.09.2017 13.4N 140.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.09.2017 13.4N 141.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.09.2017 13.3N 143.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.09.2017 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 13.3N 134.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 18.09.2017 13.3N 134.3W WEAK 00UTC 19.09.2017 13.4N 133.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.09.2017 12.9N 133.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.09.2017 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 9.7N 163.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 19.09.2017 10.0N 164.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.09.2017 10.5N 166.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.09.2017 11.6N 168.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.09.2017 12.8N 171.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.09.2017 13.6N 173.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.09.2017 14.5N 175.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 22.09.2017 15.0N 177.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 160406