000
WTNT80 EGRR 020406

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 02.09.2017

             HURRICANE IRMA       ANALYSED POSITION : 18.9N  39.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL112017

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 02.09.2017  18.9N  39.8W    STRONG
 12UTC 02.09.2017  18.8N  42.7W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.09.2017  18.4N  45.3W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.09.2017  18.0N  47.8W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.09.2017  17.4N  49.9W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.09.2017  17.2N  51.8W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.09.2017  17.3N  53.9W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.09.2017  17.7N  55.9W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 06.09.2017  18.5N  58.0W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.09.2017  19.7N  60.4W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.09.2017  20.9N  62.8W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.09.2017  22.0N  65.4W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.09.2017  22.8N  67.8W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

        TROPICAL STORM LIDIA      ANALYSED POSITION : 26.1N 112.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP142017

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 02.09.2017  26.1N 112.0W   MODERATE
 12UTC 02.09.2017  28.1N 112.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.09.2017  29.0N 114.9W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.09.2017  30.3N 117.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 04.09.2017  31.3N 119.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.09.2017  32.2N 120.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.09.2017        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  84 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 12.7N  35.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 05.09.2017  12.7N  35.4W     WEAK
 00UTC 06.09.2017  13.1N  38.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.09.2017  13.8N  41.5W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.09.2017  15.1N  44.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.09.2017  16.4N  47.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.09.2017  17.5N  50.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 22.9N  95.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 07.09.2017  22.9N  95.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 08.09.2017  22.5N  95.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 020406