000 WTNT80 EGRR 240418 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 24.08.2017 TROPICAL STORM KENNETH ANALYSED POSITION : 25.7N 136.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP132017 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 24.08.2017 25.7N 136.0W WEAK 12UTC 24.08.2017 27.0N 136.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.08.2017 28.2N 136.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.08.2017 28.7N 135.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.08.2017 29.2N 136.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.08.2017 29.5N 136.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.08.2017 30.1N 137.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.08.2017 30.7N 138.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.08.2017 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY ANALYSED POSITION : 22.0N 92.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL092017 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 24.08.2017 22.0N 92.5W WEAK 12UTC 24.08.2017 23.2N 92.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.08.2017 24.3N 93.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 25.08.2017 25.6N 95.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 26.08.2017 27.0N 96.1W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 26.08.2017 28.1N 96.6W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 27.08.2017 28.8N 97.2W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.08.2017 29.1N 97.4W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 28.08.2017 29.1N 97.7W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 28.08.2017 28.9N 97.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.08.2017 29.0N 97.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.08.2017 29.2N 97.5W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 30.08.2017 29.1N 97.3W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 12.6N 142.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 27.08.2017 12.3N 142.8W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 27.08.2017 12.7N 145.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.08.2017 13.2N 147.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.08.2017 14.2N 149.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.08.2017 15.5N 151.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.08.2017 16.1N 153.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.08.2017 16.4N 155.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 15.4N 17.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 27.08.2017 15.4N 18.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 28.08.2017 15.6N 20.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.08.2017 16.7N 23.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 29.08.2017 18.1N 25.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.08.2017 19.5N 27.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.08.2017 21.0N 29.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 31.1N 75.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 28.08.2017 31.1N 75.6W WEAK 00UTC 29.08.2017 32.2N 73.8W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 29.08.2017 33.5N 71.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.08.2017 34.4N 69.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 12.9N 130.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 29.08.2017 12.9N 130.0W WEAK 00UTC 30.08.2017 12.7N 130.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 240418