000 WTNT80 EGRR 211618 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 21.08.2017 TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY ANALYSED POSITION : 16.8N 81.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL092017 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 21.08.2017 16.8N 81.7W WEAK 00UTC 22.08.2017 18.2N 85.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 22.08.2017 19.1N 88.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.08.2017 20.4N 90.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.08.2017 20.6N 92.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.08.2017 21.4N 93.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 24.08.2017 22.3N 94.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 25.08.2017 23.0N 95.9W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 25.08.2017 23.9N 97.7W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 26.08.2017 24.4N 99.8W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 26.08.2017 26.0N 102.2W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 27.08.2017 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE KENNETH ANALYSED POSITION : 17.2N 131.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP132017 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 21.08.2017 17.2N 131.3W MODERATE 00UTC 22.08.2017 18.0N 132.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 22.08.2017 19.2N 133.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.08.2017 21.1N 134.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.08.2017 23.0N 135.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 24.08.2017 24.7N 137.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.08.2017 25.8N 138.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.08.2017 26.7N 138.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.08.2017 26.7N 138.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.08.2017 26.8N 138.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.08.2017 27.2N 139.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.08.2017 27.8N 140.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.08.2017 28.2N 142.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 17.8N 17.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 27.08.2017 17.9N 18.8W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 211618