000
WTNT80 EGRR 210418

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 21.08.2017

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY     ANALYSED POSITION : 15.1N  78.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL092017

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 21.08.2017  15.1N  78.3W     WEAK
 12UTC 21.08.2017  16.9N  81.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.08.2017  18.3N  85.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.08.2017        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE KENNETH    ANALYSED POSITION : 16.6N 129.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP132017

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 21.08.2017  16.6N 129.3W   MODERATE
 12UTC 21.08.2017  17.4N 131.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.08.2017  18.3N 132.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.08.2017  19.7N 133.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.08.2017  21.6N 134.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 23.08.2017  23.4N 135.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 24.08.2017  25.0N 137.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.08.2017  26.4N 138.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.08.2017  27.9N 137.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.08.2017  28.9N 137.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.08.2017  30.3N 136.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.08.2017  30.9N 137.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.08.2017  31.2N 138.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 21.0N  92.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 23.08.2017  21.0N  92.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 24.08.2017  21.9N  93.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.08.2017  23.0N  94.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.08.2017  23.9N  95.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 25.08.2017  25.0N  97.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 26.08.2017  26.4N  98.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.08.2017  27.8N 100.5W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 27.08.2017  28.3N 101.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 28.2N  79.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 23.08.2017  28.2N  79.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 24.08.2017  28.7N  79.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.08.2017  29.9N  79.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.08.2017  30.8N  78.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.08.2017  31.9N  76.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.08.2017  32.8N  73.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 26.08.2017  34.5N  71.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 27.08.2017  37.2N  68.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 18.1N  15.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 27.08.2017  18.1N  15.5W     WEAK


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 210418