000
WTNT80 EGRR 181618

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 18.08.2017

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13E        ANALYSED POSITION : 14.9N 116.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP132017

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 18.08.2017  14.9N 116.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 19.08.2017  15.9N 119.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.08.2017  16.0N 122.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.08.2017  16.6N 125.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.08.2017  17.5N 128.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.08.2017  18.2N 130.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.08.2017  19.1N 131.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.08.2017  20.0N 132.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.08.2017  20.5N 133.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 23.08.2017  21.1N 133.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.08.2017        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM HARVEY     ANALYSED POSITION : 13.2N  60.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL092017

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 18.08.2017  13.2N  60.2W     WEAK
 00UTC 19.08.2017  13.4N  63.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.08.2017  13.2N  67.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.08.2017  13.5N  70.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.08.2017  13.8N  74.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.08.2017  14.2N  78.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 21.08.2017  14.8N  82.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.08.2017  15.8N  85.1W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 22.08.2017  16.6N  87.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.08.2017  17.1N  89.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.08.2017  17.7N  91.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.08.2017  17.7N  93.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.08.2017        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  84 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 24.7N  74.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 22.08.2017  24.7N  74.6W     WEAK
 12UTC 22.08.2017  25.4N  76.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.08.2017  25.5N  77.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.08.2017  25.7N  78.3W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 24.08.2017  25.8N  78.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 24.08.2017  26.1N  78.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 181618