000
WTNT80 EGRR 141618

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 14.08.2017

        TROPICAL STORM GERT       ANALYSED POSITION : 29.5N  72.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL082017

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 14.08.2017  29.5N  72.2W     WEAK
 00UTC 15.08.2017  30.7N  72.4W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 15.08.2017  32.2N  72.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.08.2017  34.2N  71.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.08.2017  36.6N  68.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.08.2017  38.3N  62.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.08.2017  39.5N  56.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.08.2017  42.5N  48.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.08.2017  48.1N  39.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 19.08.2017  52.3N  40.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.08.2017        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  72 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 12.0N 151.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 17.08.2017  12.0N 151.2W     WEAK
 00UTC 18.08.2017  12.2N 152.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.08.2017  12.3N 152.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.08.2017  12.6N 154.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.08.2017  13.0N 155.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.08.2017        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 11.4N 142.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 19.08.2017  11.6N 142.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.08.2017  12.2N 142.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.08.2017  12.9N 142.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.08.2017  13.7N 143.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 13.7N  30.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 19.08.2017  14.4N  31.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.08.2017  14.7N  35.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.08.2017  16.1N  39.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.08.2017  17.4N  42.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 141618