000
WTNT80 EGRR 101618

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 10.08.2017

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANKLIN   ANALYSED POSITION : 20.1N  97.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL072017

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 10.08.2017  20.1N  97.3W     WEAK
 00UTC 11.08.2017        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  66 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 27.1N  71.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 13.08.2017  27.7N  73.2W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 14.08.2017  28.9N  74.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.08.2017  30.8N  74.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.08.2017  33.6N  73.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.08.2017  37.0N  70.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.08.2017  40.8N  63.3W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 16.08.2017  43.6N  54.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  84 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 11.7N 143.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 14.08.2017  11.7N 143.5W     WEAK
 12UTC 14.08.2017  12.2N 144.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.08.2017  12.5N 145.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.08.2017  12.8N 146.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.08.2017  13.3N 147.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.08.2017  13.6N 148.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 15.5N 113.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 16.08.2017  15.5N 115.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 11.0N 133.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 16.08.2017  11.0N 133.9W     WEAK

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 11.6N 162.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 16.08.2017  11.6N 162.3W     WEAK


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 101618