000 WTNT80 EGRR 100418 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 10.08.2017 HURRICANE FRANKLIN ANALYSED POSITION : 20.3N 95.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL072017 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 10.08.2017 20.3N 95.4W MODERATE 12UTC 10.08.2017 20.2N 97.3W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 11.08.2017 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 11.8N 143.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 14.08.2017 12.0N 143.2W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 15.08.2017 12.2N 144.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.08.2017 12.6N 145.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.08.2017 12.9N 147.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 16.0N 111.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 15.08.2017 16.3N 112.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.08.2017 16.4N 113.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.08.2017 16.4N 116.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 11.4N 128.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 15.08.2017 11.7N 128.4W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 16.08.2017 12.3N 127.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 100418