000
WTNT80 EGRR 011618

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 01.08.2017

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILY      ANALYSED POSITION : 28.8N  79.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062017

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 01.08.2017  28.8N  79.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 02.08.2017  30.7N  77.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.08.2017  32.7N  75.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.08.2017  34.4N  73.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.08.2017  36.1N  69.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.08.2017  37.1N  66.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.08.2017  37.7N  64.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.08.2017  38.3N  61.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.08.2017  39.0N  59.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.08.2017  40.5N  58.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.08.2017  41.4N  57.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.08.2017        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM IRWIN      ANALYSED POSITION : 25.7N 129.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP102017

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 01.08.2017  25.7N 129.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 02.08.2017  27.4N 130.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.08.2017  28.0N 131.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.08.2017  28.2N 131.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.08.2017        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  84 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 37.2N  40.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 05.08.2017  37.2N  40.1W     WEAK
 12UTC 05.08.2017  37.7N  40.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.08.2017  38.7N  38.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.08.2017  40.8N  38.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.08.2017  41.6N  40.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.08.2017  42.1N  40.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 011618