000
WTNT80 EGRR 241618

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 24.07.2017

        TROPICAL STORM GREG       ANALYSED POSITION : 14.6N 132.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072017

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 24.07.2017  14.6N 132.6W     WEAK
 00UTC 25.07.2017  15.0N 134.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.07.2017  15.8N 135.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.07.2017  16.8N 137.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.07.2017  17.8N 138.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.07.2017  18.5N 140.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.07.2017  18.6N 142.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.07.2017  18.4N 144.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.07.2017  18.0N 145.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.07.2017        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE HILARY     ANALYSED POSITION : 14.5N 104.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP092017

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 24.07.2017  14.5N 104.3W   MODERATE
 00UTC 25.07.2017  15.3N 106.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 25.07.2017  16.0N 108.0W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.07.2017  16.5N 110.4W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.07.2017  17.0N 112.7W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.07.2017  17.8N 115.3W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 27.07.2017  18.7N 117.9W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 28.07.2017  19.4N 120.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.07.2017  19.4N 123.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 29.07.2017  19.0N 125.9W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 29.07.2017  18.5N 126.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.07.2017  20.5N 128.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.07.2017  21.1N 130.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

        TROPICAL STORM IRWIN      ANALYSED POSITION : 14.7N 117.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP102017

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 24.07.2017  14.7N 117.2W   MODERATE
 00UTC 25.07.2017  15.0N 117.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.07.2017  15.1N 118.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.07.2017  14.7N 119.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.07.2017  14.2N 120.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.07.2017  13.6N 121.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.07.2017  13.3N 121.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.07.2017  13.7N 121.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.07.2017  15.3N 120.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.07.2017  18.6N 121.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.07.2017  18.5N 126.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.07.2017        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 35.0N  73.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 30.07.2017  36.1N  71.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.07.2017  39.4N  68.0W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 241618