000
WTNT80 EGRR 171618

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 17.07.2017

             HURRICANE FERNANDA   ANALYSED POSITION : 13.3N 130.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062017

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 17.07.2017  13.3N 130.3W   MODERATE
 00UTC 18.07.2017  14.2N 131.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.07.2017  15.3N 132.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.07.2017  16.1N 133.3W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 19.07.2017  16.8N 134.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.07.2017  17.3N 136.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.07.2017  17.6N 138.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.07.2017  17.9N 140.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.07.2017  18.1N 142.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.07.2017  18.4N 143.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.07.2017  18.9N 145.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.07.2017  19.2N 147.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.07.2017        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 13.6N 116.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 17.07.2017  13.6N 116.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 18.07.2017  15.0N 117.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.07.2017  15.1N 118.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.07.2017  15.7N 119.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.07.2017  15.3N 120.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.07.2017  14.2N 120.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.07.2017  13.1N 121.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.07.2017  12.7N 120.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.07.2017  13.3N 120.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.07.2017        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 14.4N 105.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 17.07.2017  14.4N 105.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 18.07.2017  14.9N 107.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.07.2017  15.0N 108.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.07.2017  15.0N 109.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.07.2017  15.3N 111.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.07.2017  15.7N 114.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.07.2017  16.5N 116.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.07.2017  17.6N 119.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.07.2017  17.9N 121.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.07.2017        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 171618