000
WTNT80 EGRR 131617

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 13.07.2017

        TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA   ANALYSED POSITION : 11.4N 114.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062017

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 13.07.2017  11.4N 114.6W   MODERATE
 00UTC 14.07.2017  11.5N 116.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 14.07.2017  11.4N 118.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.07.2017  11.4N 120.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.07.2017  11.8N 122.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.07.2017  12.5N 125.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.07.2017  12.9N 127.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.07.2017  13.3N 130.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.07.2017  13.6N 132.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.07.2017  14.2N 134.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.07.2017  15.0N 136.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.07.2017  15.7N 138.6W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 19.07.2017  16.5N 140.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 14.5N 114.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 19.07.2017  14.5N 114.4W     WEAK


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 131617