000 WTNT80 EGRR 091617 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 09.07.2017 HURRICANE EUGENE ANALYSED POSITION : 15.6N 114.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP052017 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 09.07.2017 15.6N 114.6W STRONG 00UTC 10.07.2017 17.4N 116.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.07.2017 18.8N 117.7W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.07.2017 20.3N 119.3W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.07.2017 21.5N 120.5W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.07.2017 22.5N 121.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.07.2017 23.6N 121.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 13.07.2017 25.0N 122.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 13.07.2017 26.3N 123.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.07.2017 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 96 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 13.2N 115.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 13.07.2017 13.2N 115.3W WEAK 00UTC 14.07.2017 12.7N 117.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.07.2017 12.5N 119.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.07.2017 12.5N 122.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.07.2017 12.5N 125.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 26.9N 86.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 15.07.2017 26.9N 87.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 091617