000
WTNT80 EGRR 070418

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 07.07.2017

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04L        ANALYSED POSITION : 14.9N  44.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL042017

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 07.07.2017  14.9N  44.8W     WEAK
 12UTC 07.07.2017  15.5N  49.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.07.2017  16.4N  53.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.07.2017  17.5N  56.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.07.2017        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  18 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 12.0N 110.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 08.07.2017  12.3N 111.2W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 08.07.2017  12.7N 112.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.07.2017  13.9N 114.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.07.2017  14.9N 116.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.07.2017  16.0N 117.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.07.2017  17.3N 118.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.07.2017  18.5N 120.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.07.2017  19.4N 121.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.07.2017  20.0N 121.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.07.2017  20.8N 122.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.07.2017  21.4N 123.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  84 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 22.7N  68.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 10.07.2017  22.7N  68.6W     WEAK
 00UTC 11.07.2017  23.4N  70.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.07.2017  24.4N  72.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.07.2017  26.0N  74.1W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.07.2017  27.3N  76.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.07.2017  28.6N  78.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 070418