000 WTNT80 EGRR 020418 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 02.07.2017 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 10.1N 35.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 05.07.2017 11.1N 35.6W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 05.07.2017 12.5N 37.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.07.2017 13.9N 39.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.07.2017 15.3N 43.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.07.2017 16.3N 46.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.07.2017 17.0N 49.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.07.2017 17.9N 53.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 13.1N 120.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 05.07.2017 13.7N 120.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 05.07.2017 15.1N 120.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.07.2017 16.3N 120.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.07.2017 17.0N 122.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.07.2017 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 12.2N 105.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 07.07.2017 12.7N 107.1W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.07.2017 13.0N 109.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.07.2017 13.6N 110.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 020418