000
WTNT80 EGRR 100418

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 10.05.2017

        TROPICAL STORM 01E        ANALYSED POSITION :  9.4N  91.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP012017

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 10.05.2017   9.4N  91.9W     WEAK
 12UTC 10.05.2017        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  30 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 11.9N  93.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 11.05.2017  12.9N  93.9W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 12.05.2017  13.0N  95.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.05.2017  14.1N  96.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.05.2017        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 13.7N  97.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 14.05.2017  13.4N  96.9W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 15.05.2017  13.8N  95.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.05.2017  13.6N  94.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.05.2017  13.6N  92.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 100417