000
WTNT80 EGRR 111618

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 11.03.2017

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 32.7S  49.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 12.03.2017  32.7S  49.9W     WEAK
 00UTC 13.03.2017  36.1S  44.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 13.03.2017  41.7S  37.5W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 14.03.2017  43.7S  32.8W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.03.2017  47.2S  24.4W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 15.03.2017  50.0S  20.1W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 15.03.2017  49.2S  19.5W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 16.03.2017        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  66 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 33.5N  76.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 14.03.2017  36.7N  74.1W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 15.03.2017  40.9N  68.9W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 15.03.2017  43.9N  67.5W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 16.03.2017  47.3N  65.9W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 16.03.2017  48.3N  66.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.03.2017  51.8N  62.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.03.2017        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 111618