000
WHXX01 KWBC 191238
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1238 UTC SAT NOV 19 2016
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL902016) 20161119 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        161119  1200   161120  0000   161120  1200   161121  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    11.0N  81.5W   10.8N  82.2W    9.9N  82.8W    9.2N  83.6W
BAMD    11.0N  81.5W   10.8N  82.4W   10.5N  83.3W    9.8N  84.5W
BAMM    11.0N  81.5W   10.8N  82.2W   10.5N  82.7W    9.9N  83.3W
LBAR    11.0N  81.5W   11.6N  81.7W   12.9N  81.6W   14.3N  81.0W
SHIP        30KTS          36KTS          42KTS          47KTS
DSHP        30KTS          36KTS          42KTS          47KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        161121  1200   161122  1200   161123  1200   161124  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS     8.6N  84.4W    8.0N  86.6W    7.7N  89.0W    7.0N  92.1W
BAMD     9.1N  86.2W    8.0N  90.7W    6.7N  95.5W    5.0N 100.7W
BAMM     9.3N  84.0W    8.6N  86.1W    8.4N  88.5W    8.0N  91.3W
LBAR    15.6N  80.1W   18.7N  78.6W   21.9N  77.0W   24.4N  73.5W
SHIP        54KTS          63KTS          68KTS          72KTS
DSHP        54KTS          37KTS          29KTS          27KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  11.0N LONCUR =  81.5W DIRCUR =  95DEG SPDCUR =   2KT
LATM12 =  11.1N LONM12 =  82.0W DIRM12 = 117DEG SPDM12 =   2KT
LATM24 =  11.4N LONM24 =  81.9W
WNDCUR =   30KT RMAXWD =  100NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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