000 WTNT80 EGRR 190418 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 19.11.2016 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 6 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 6 : 37.3N 65.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 19.11.2016 36.0N 64.9W MODERATE 00UTC 20.11.2016 34.9N 62.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.11.2016 36.2N 59.0W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 21.11.2016 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 11.2N 80.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 21.11.2016 11.2N 80.0W WEAK 12UTC 21.11.2016 11.1N 79.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 22.11.2016 10.9N 78.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 22.11.2016 11.2N 78.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.11.2016 11.6N 78.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.11.2016 12.1N 78.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.11.2016 12.7N 78.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.11.2016 13.1N 79.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.11.2016 13.6N 79.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 13.8N 72.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 22.11.2016 13.8N 72.1W WEAK 12UTC 22.11.2016 14.2N 71.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.11.2016 14.1N 72.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.11.2016 14.6N 72.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.11.2016 15.5N 73.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.11.2016 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 7.5N 87.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 22.11.2016 7.1N 87.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.11.2016 6.7N 88.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.11.2016 7.2N 90.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.11.2016 7.9N 91.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.11.2016 7.5N 93.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.11.2016 8.0N 96.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 7.5N 91.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 24.11.2016 7.9N 91.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.11.2016 7.5N 93.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.11.2016 8.0N 96.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 190418