000
WTNT80 EGRR 181617

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 18.11.2016

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  18 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 37.0N  65.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 19.11.2016  36.0N  64.5W   MODERATE
 00UTC 20.11.2016  35.8N  62.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.11.2016  37.3N  58.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 21.11.2016        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  42 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 10.7N  82.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 20.11.2016  10.7N  81.7W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 21.11.2016  10.7N  80.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.11.2016  11.4N  80.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.11.2016  11.5N  79.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.11.2016  11.7N  78.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.11.2016  12.5N  79.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.11.2016  13.2N  79.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 24.11.2016  13.9N  80.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 24.11.2016  14.6N  81.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 181617