000 WTNT80 EGRR 150418 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 15.11.2016 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TINA ANALYSED POSITION : 18.7N 109.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP212016 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 15.11.2016 18.7N 109.4W WEAK 12UTC 15.11.2016 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 29.5N 68.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 17.11.2016 31.7N 66.4W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 18.11.2016 37.4N 64.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 18.11.2016 38.3N 64.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 19.11.2016 37.0N 64.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.11.2016 36.7N 64.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.11.2016 36.5N 65.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.11.2016 36.4N 62.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.11.2016 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 84 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 13.3N 79.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 18.11.2016 13.3N 79.5W WEAK 00UTC 19.11.2016 12.0N 78.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.11.2016 12.5N 78.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.11.2016 12.9N 77.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.11.2016 12.8N 76.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.11.2016 13.2N 75.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 150418