000
WTNT80 EGRR 130418

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 13.11.2016

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 15.3N 108.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 13.11.2016  15.3N 108.0W     WEAK
 12UTC 13.11.2016  16.9N 107.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.11.2016  17.6N 108.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.11.2016  18.3N 109.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.11.2016  18.7N 110.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.11.2016  18.8N 111.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.11.2016  18.6N 112.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.11.2016        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 36.0N  76.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 15.11.2016  36.0N  76.6W     WEAK
 12UTC 15.11.2016  38.9N  75.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.11.2016  40.2N  75.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.11.2016  44.4N  74.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.11.2016        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  90 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 13.0N  79.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 17.11.2016  12.8N  79.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.11.2016  14.6N  78.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.11.2016  15.5N  78.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.11.2016  15.2N  77.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.11.2016  15.9N  78.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 130418